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Analyst's note:  Considering the current, never-ending threats from North Korea, we are likely to know soon what the North Koreans are planning with their two "missing" short-range submarines.

I will just say that if an armed man is standing in my back yard threatening to kill me and destroy all that I hold dear.  I would tend to listen and act accordingly .... even if his weapons look old and rusty.

 

MID-WEST, UNITED STATES — Within hours of South Korean news sources breaking a story that several Sang-Ho class submarines had disappeared from their North Korean bases, a ham radio operator named Tim, picked up a “numbers station” broadcasting on the same frequency as “The Voice of Korea” propaganda station.  What makes this even more interesting is that at the tail end of the numbers transmission there was a long duration digital transmission as well.

So why is this important and alarming?

There are several reasons why this new development is particularly alarming.  The first being the existence of the numbers station coming online shortly after the submarines put to sea, but more importantly is the digital transmission apparently tacked onto the end of the transmission and the ramifications of that transmission.

Numbers Station?

Throughout the Cold War numbers stations were used to convey encrypted messages to covert operatives.  The station would come online broadcast a series of numbers, possibly multiple times, then disappear into the darkness.  Those numbers were used as coded messages to be decrypted on the other end by the in country operative.  Examples of these numbers stations can be found at The Conet Project Archives.   So what makes this number station significant is the proximity in timing to the disappearance of the San-Ho class submarines, as well as the digital transmission.  It is important to point out that the  Sang-Ho submarines in question were effectively purpose built for covert insertion of small teams of North Korean Maritime Commandos who are part of North Korea’s much lauded Special Operations ForceSo at this moment there is a covert North Korean force apparently heading for South Korea.

The Sang-Ho submarines can carry as many as 30 commandos per submarines giving the current submarines a combined force of around 60 troops.  Those 60 troops are specially trained to carry out behind enemy lines covert actions such as sabotage and assassinations. So in this case the numbers station was most likely broadcasting a special code to North Korean operatives to announce the impending arrival of the covert operations teams.

The Digital Transmission

What is more significant is the digital signal at the end of the transmission.  Digital transmissions such as this one may indicate the presence of a burst transmission which contains a compressed and encrypted message bound for some covert force, somewhere.  Typically a burst transmission is used to minimize the download time at the end point to prevent discovery.  The unusual part of this potential burst transmission is being attached to a numbers station as well as the length and the power of the broadcast.  Normal burst transmissions are in the one second to two second range.  This transmission was in the 10 to 15 second range which is almost unheard of, unless the end point is a submarine.

The ham operator who picked up this particular transmission was located in the Midwest of the United States, and he reported the transmission was received 4 by 5 indicating a significant power was used to send the transmission.  That level of power coupled with the length and possible submarine end point opens up a new and alarming tangent to this escalating conflict. It is important to point out that the numbers are being read in Spanish but that is typically done to confuse the original source of the transmission.  In this case the transmission was detected on a upper side band of the AM range used by the Voice of Korea so while the numbers are Spanish the transmission does appear to originate in North Korea That fact coupled with the missing submarines seems to provide evidence of the nature of the transmission despite being in Spanish.  Its also important to note that the numbers being in Spanish could also be used to employ a different set of codes in the operatives code books. [....]

 CNN is reporting not to worry, it is all bluster we have seen before.

 

FoxNews is reporting the need for caution on the matter. Everyone seems to have an opinion on what North Korea will do. 

 

 

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