Analyst's note:  Absolutely must read.  Proven American nuclear weapons designers are confident after much study and careful observation for over a year that Iran does in fact have a second uranium enrichment facility.  "There can be no doubt that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapon capability."  Based on what is known concerning Iran's missile launches, it is also reasonable to deduce that their interest is in a weapon created for missile delivered that fits the capabilities of their Shahab-3 missile.  With no scientific need to test enriched uranium bombs they may "[...] opt for a suicide attack on Tel Aviv.  That has been Hezbollah's way of doing business."  If Iran does test, they could reasonably choose an option that will "[...] seriously disrupt U.S. intelligence-collection satellites."

 

"Thomas C. Reed is a former nuclear weapons designer at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Secretary of the Air Force under presidents Ford and Carter, and Special Assistant to President Reagan for National Security Policy. With Danny Stillman, he has co-authored The Nuclear Express: A Political History of the Bomb and Its Proliferation. He shares his thoughts on Iran's nuclear program, via our friend John B. Dwyer [....]"